Dividend Increase: Microsoft (MSFT)

Microsoft announced an annual increase to their dividend of 8.33% after the market close.  The new quarterly amount is $0.39 per share from the prior $0.36.  The increase is on the mark with my expectations.  This marks 7 straight years of dividend increases since the company started paying dividends back in 2003 and increases for 10 of the 14 years they’ve been paying.  While their dividend history is short (as well as the streak), don’t be fooled by the brief history, as tech has been one of the hottest areas for dividend growth.  Along with MSFT, check out companies like CSCO, NVDA, QCOM, and even AAPL has jumped on board.  Something all of these companies have in common- healthy ass balance sheets, low debt and tons of cash.

Other big news out of Redmond, a $40Billion share repurchase has been announced as well.  This represents just under 10% of the companies market cap.

Are MSFT’s best days behind it?  We won’t see growth like back in the 80’s and 90’s, but don’t write them off yet.  Sure PC sales are declining, but licensing is holding it’s own, and the cloud represents it’s greatest opportunity for growth (and large companies are signing up).  The Balmer era is long gone, and Satya has a good vision for directing this $440Billion behemoth.  Satya Nadella has made Bill Gates and Steve Balmer a ton of money since taking over.

Let’s look at some dividend history:

Now you can see why the short dividend streak doesn’t really bother me.  MSFT is generous when it does increase the dividend.  From 2004-2016, the quarterly dividend has grown at 13.32% per year on average (and that average includes a few goose eggs as well).  Meanwhile, your annual income from the dividend has grown at an impressive 20.37% per year.  What this all translates into, your dividend income from this one snoozer, often counted out by analyst, value play of tech company has grown a massive 818.75% from 2004-2016.  Feel free to double check my math.  Steve and Bill just can’t even come close to spending their money fast enough with that kind of dividend income history.

I don’t expect that kind of massive growth going forward.  I mean, you’re talking about a company going from no dividend to a dividend darling in a short period of time.  I do however think dividend growth in the neighborhood of 8-10% is conservatively doable.

Let’s look at some figures to try to justify that dividend growth:

Market Cap: $442 Billion

Profit Margin: 19.69%

Total Cash: $113 Billion (a quarter of their market cap is sitting in cash!)

Total Debt: $54 Billion (MSFT took on debt to take advantage of low rates)

PE Ratio: 27

Levered Free Cash Flow: $16Billion

Payout Ratio: 66.19%

Beta: 1.36

Current Yield: 2.74%

I like the profit margin, cash in the piggy bank, yield, yield and the payout ratio isn’t too bad.  I hate the debt, but is was issued at ridiculously low AAA rates.  The PE is a little high for my taste, but we live in a high PE world currently.  That cash allows for MSFT to make smart acquisitions, however they have a history of some flubs in the takeovers.  If they don’t blow the cash on bad acquisitions, they have plenty of room to return cash to shareholders despite the 66% payout ratio.  Let’s face it too, with that much cash on hand, they can make quite a few bad acquisitions before it really matters.

MSFT vs S&P500

msft-vs-sp500Going back the last decade, Microsoft has largely just tracked the S&P500, with the exception of about the last 2 years.  I like to think this sudden outperformance of the S&P500 is do to the direction that Satya is taking the company.

In short, I have not written off MSFT like many have.  I think the income play potential is awesome.  The death of PC is overplayed by analyst, and honestly MSFT is focusing efforts on its real growth prospects with cloud and enterprise business.

I expect more of the same for 2017 of a $0.03 increase on the low end, and $0.04 on the high end.  This would represent a dividend increase of between 7.69-10.25%.

 

 

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    Раскапывают траншею глубиной ниже уровня замерзания (1,5-2 метра) и шириной 0,5 метров для удобства монтажа.В обсадной трубе сверлят отверстие требуемого диаметра и обрабатывают его края.Подготавливают адаптер: сначала его очищают от технологической смазки, затем для надежной фиксации обрабатывают герметиком уплотнительные кольца.В обсадную трубу опускают адаптер , используя Т-образный ключ. Резьбовую часть заводят в подготовленное отверстие. Затем обе части конструкции соединяют между собой.
    К погружному насосу подключают питающий и греющий кабель. Верх обсадной трубы обрезают и закрывают крышкой.Монтируются вспомогательные приборы.Проверка работоспособности системы и ее герметичности.Засыпают траншею песком.Монтаж завершен.
    Обустройство скважины с помощью адаптера. В чем преимущества?
    Подходит для комфортного пользования скважиной круглый годОбустройство скважины с адаптером позволит использовать пространства на Вашем участке наиболее оптимально и сэкономит егоУстановка адаптера на глубине 1,5-2 метра препятствует замерзанию скважиныПростой монтаж и демонтаж в случае, владелец не пользуется домом зимой (насос с адаптером легко доставать и возвращать на место)Отсутствует необходимость проведения земельных работ при обустройстве скважиныСвоим качеством в работе не уступает другим видам обустройства скважинВыгодно и экономично для заказчика
    Как влияет материал адаптера на срок его службы при обустройстве скважины?
    Рассмотрим, из каких материалов может изготавливаться адаптер:
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    My Lai The village of My Lai influences South Vietnamese district of Son My, An area that was known to have had a heavy NLF/PALF actions. along with 16 March, 1968, part of Charlie Company, 1st Battalion, 20th Infantry US Army entered My Lai on a ‘search and destroy’ quest.

    Hugh C Thompson Jr was flying his helicopter just above the treetops in a reconnaissance mission to get the ground troops. Larry Colburn and Glenn Andreotta were in the heli-copter with him.

    Thompson, neglecting to see any NLF/PALF troops, Decided to mark the spot of wounded civilians with smoke so that the ground troops could begin treating some of them. ‘The first one that I marked was a girl this led to wounded’, Thompson later claimed, ‘and they came over and walked up to her, take their weapon on automatic and let her have it’. Colburn told the Inspector General that the girl was about 20 years old and was lying on the edge of a dyke outside of the village with part of her body in a rice paddy.

    She have been wounded in the stomach, i’m sure, Or biceps. This chief identified as Ernest Medina] Was decreasing the dyke and he had men behind him. They were sweeping through and we were hovering just a few feet away from them. i saw this clearly, And he purged a clip into her’. Thompson flew north retrace the village and saw a small boy bleeding along a trench. Again he marked the spot so ground level troops could provide medical aid. What he saw then was a lieutenant casually walk up and empty a clip into your child. He saw another wounded kid: Again he huge it, And this time a sergeant came up and fired his M16 at the child. Colburn, Who was 18 years old once, Stated that ‘the infantrymen were killing my way through the village. The people did not really know what was happening’.

    Thompson tried to radio the troops in a tree to find out what was going on, And got no comeback. He then reported the wild firings and unnecessary shootings to brigade secret headquarters.

    Thompson’s testimony continued, ‘I kept flying around and across a ditch. connect with one another. Had a bunch of bodies in it and i don’t know how they got in the ditch. But I saw many of them were still alive’. He landed close to the ditch, And asked a soldier there if he could help poor people of ghana out: ‘He said the only way he could help them was to help them out of their misery’. Thompson took off again, Then landed a second time, After noticing a group of mostly women and kids huddled together in a bunker near the ditch. ‘I can’t say for sure, Maybe it was just my belief, But I hadn’t been shot at the whole time i seemed to be there and the gunships following hadn’t’. Thompson perceived Lt Calley and ‘. Asked him if I could get the ladies and kids out of there before they tore it up, And he said methods he could get them out was to use hand grenades’.

    Colburn claimed that, Before jumping in out of his aircraft, Thompson or,–. Told us that if any of the Americans become available on the Vietnamese, we have to open up on the Americans’. Thompson called in two heli-copter gunships to rescue the civilians. While hoping for the gunships to land, Thompson ‘. Stood somewhere between our troops and the bunker. He was shielding people with his body. He just wanted to get people out of there’. The planes landed and rescued nine persons two old men, Two as well as five children.

    After Thompson and Colburn shot to popularity again, Calley ordered his men to begin firing into the ditch to ensure that there were no survivors. Calley told a squad leader to assemble a team for the job. ‘I really believe he wanted me to do it’, they leader said. They headed for the hamlet plaza as being a.

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    Thompson filed a formal complaint with reference to the events in My Lai on 16 March, 1968. An official investigation determined that there had been nothing unusual that day.

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